Evolving a climate-resilient electricity infrastructure in the Netherlands
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چکیده
A resilient electricity infrastructure is one which preserves continuity of service despite perturbations in its environment, if it fails, it does so gracefully, not catastrophically. Electricity infrastructures globally are undergoing a low-carbon transition with a yet-to-be defined endpoint. What will be the impact of these transitions on network resilience? How can we steer them to foster resilience? This paper introduces results from a model exploring the evolution of the Dutch electricity transmission network under various transition scenarios. The model captures the development of this network as a result of the decisions of a set of boundedly rational agents, representing power producers and a grid operator. These agents make repeated decisions to (dis)invest in various types of infrastructure components, driving the evolution of the network. Using network analysis techniques, we evaluate the resilience of the resulting network topologies and identify key drivers of resilience
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تاریخ انتشار 2014